PUBLICATIONS

Please check my Google Scholar or Scopus profiles for the latest information.

Journal Articles

• 38. Zhi Cao, Jia Liu, Xiaoke Su, Jingyang Song, Xiaoyang Zhong, Takuma Watari, Paul Behrens, and Tong Zhang (2026)
  Demand-side factors as dominant drivers of resource efficiency in the concrete aggregates cycle
  Nature Sustainability, xxx

• 37. Lingli Hou, Tomer Fishman, Stefano Merciai, Takuma Watari, Yanan Liang, Ester van der Voet, Asaf Tzachor, Heming Wang, Peng Wang, Jun Bi, and Ranran Wang (2026)
  Embodied Transboundary Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Mitigation Opportunities of over 700 Belt and Road Initiative Projects
  Environmental Science & Technology, 60, 24, 17181-17191

• 36. Peng Wang, Yi-Long Yin, Zhenxi Li, Chris Bataille, Daniel M Franks, Takuma Watari, Max Åhman, Lars J Nilsson, Xiao-Dong Ma, Jing Meng, Qi Zhang, Timothy M Smith, and Yi Yang (2026)
  Decarbonizing global steel production
  Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 7, 374-391

• 35. Takuma Watari, Zhi Cao, and Benjamin McLellan (2026)
  Slag and fly ash in low-carbon concrete do not justify retaining blast furnaces and coal power: Evidence from Japan
  Journal of Cleaner Production, 554, 148121
  

• 34. Natanael Bolson, Takuma Watari, Richard Boocock, and Jonathan Cullen (2026)
  Industrial energy efficiency and decarbonisation via electrification and hydrogen
  Applied Energy, 413, 127760

• 33. Xin Sun, Christoph Helbig, Han Hao, Takuma Watari, Karan Bhuwalka (2026)
  Establishing resilient and sustainable supply chain of critical materials for a low-carbon future
  Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 226, 108657

• 32. Hanspeter Wieland, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Nina Eisenmenger, Takuma Watari, and Stefan Giljum (2025)
  Assessing mining-related land footprints of global steel use with a global physical input–output model
  Journal of Industrial Ecology, 29, 6

• 31. Charlotte Taylor, Julian M. Allwood, Takuma Watari, and Will Hawkins (2025)
  The zero-emissions resource pool: Construction materials compatible with a realistic view of delivering zero-emissions in the UK by 2050
  Architecture, Structures and Construction, 5, 55

• 30. Dominik Wiedenhofer, Hanspeter Wieland, Sina Leipold, Chika Aoki-Suzuki, Takuma Watari, Glenn A. Aguilar-Hernandez, Simon Graf, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Marianne Zanon-Zotin, Lisa Kaufmann, Patricia Fortes, Willi Haas, and Jan Streeck (2025)
  The Circular Economy and Climate Change: The State of National and Global Evidence on Mitigation Potential
  Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 50

• 29. Takuma Watari and Tomer Fishman (2025)
  Steel flows and stocks in the Global South highlight development gaps
  Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 5, 3

• 28. Takuma Watari, Tomer Fishman, Hanspeter Wieland, and Dominik Wiedenhofer (2025)
  Global stagnation and regional variations in steel recycling
  Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 220, 1083637

• 27. Takuma Watari, Catrin Böcher, André Baumgart, Jonna Ljunge, and Dominik Wiedenhofer (2025)
  Mapping sand flows and stocks
  One Earth, 8, 2, 101197

• 26. Takuma Watari and Benjamin McLellan (2024)
  Decarbonizing the global steel industry in a resource-constrained future—a systems perspective
  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 382, 2284

• 25. Takuma Watari and Benjamin McLellan (2024)
  Global demand for green hydrogen-based steel: Insights from 28 scenarios
  International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 79, 19, 630-635

• 24. Hibiki Takimoto, Shoki Kosai, Takuma Watari, and Eiji Yamasue (2024)
  Circular economy can mitigate rising mining demand from global vehicle electrification
  Resources Conservation and Recycling, 209, 107748

• 23. Takuma Watari, Naho Yamashita, and André Cabrera Serrenho (2024)
  Net-zero embodied carbon in buildings with today’s available technologies
  Environmental Science & Technology, 58, 4, 1793-1801

• 22. Takuma Watari, André Cabrera Serrenho, Lukas Gast, Jonathan Cullen, and Julian Allwood (2023)
  Feasible supply of steel and cement within a carbon budget is likely to fall short of expected global demand
  Nature Communications, 14, 7895

• 21. Takuma Watari, Damien Giurco, and Jonathan Cullen (2023)
  Scrap endowment and inequalities in global steel decarbonization
  Journal of Cleaner Production, 425, 139041

• 20. Lulu Song, Stijn van Ewijk, Eric Masanet, Takuma Watari, Fanran Meng, Jonathan Cullen, Zhi Cao, and Wei-Qiang Chen (2023)
  China’s bulk material loops can be closed but deep decarbonization requires demand reduction
  Nature Climate Change, 13, 1136-1143

• 19. Takuma Watari, Zhi Cao, André Cabrera Serrenho, and Jonathan Cullen (2023)
  Growing role of concrete in sand and climate crises
  iScience, 26, 5, 106782

• 18. Yingchao Cheng, Takuma Watari, Jacopo Seccatore, Kenichi Nakajima, Keisuke Nansai, and Masaki Takaoka (2023)
  A review of gold production, mercury consumption, and emission in artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM)
  Resources Policy, 81, 103370

• 17. Takuma Watari, Sho Hata, Kenichi Nakajima, and Keisuke Nansai (2023)
  Limited quantity and quality of steel supply in a zero-emission future
  Nature Sustainability, 6, 336-343

• 16. Takuma Watari, Zhi Cao, Sho Hata, and Keisuke Nansai (2022)
  Efficient use of cement and concrete to reduce reliance on supply-side technologies for net-zero emissions
  Nature Communications, 13, 4158

• 15. Ryosuke Yokoi, Takuma Watari, and Masaharu Motoshita (2022)
  Temporally explicit abiotic depletion potential (TADP) for mineral resource use based on future demand projections
  The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 1-12

• 14. Ngoc Han Hoang, Tomonori Ishigaki, Takuma Watari, Masato Yamada, and Ken Kawamoto (2022)
  Current state of building demolition and potential for selective dismantling in Vietnam
  Waste Management, 149, 218-227

• 13. Takuma Watari, Stephen Northey, Damien Giurco, Sho Hata, Ryosuke Yokoi, Keisuke Nansai, and Kenichi Nakajima (2022)
  Global copper cycles and greenhouse gas emissions in a 1.5 °C world
  Resources Conservation and Recycling, 179, 106118

• 12. Ryosuke Yokoi, Takuma Watari, and Masaharu Motoshita (2022)
  Future greenhouse gas emissions from metal production: gaps and opportunities towards climate goals
  Energy and Environmental Science, 15, 146-157

• 11. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, and Kenichi Nakajima (2021)
  Contraction and convergence of in-use metal stocks to meet climate goals
  Global Environmental Change, 69, 102284

• 10. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, Kenichi Nakajima, and Damien Giurco (2021)
  Sustainable energy transitions require enhanced resource governance
  Journal of Cleaner Production, 312, 20, 127698

• 9. Takuma Watari and Ryosuke Yokoi (2021)
  International inequality in in-use metal stocks: What it portends for the future
  Resources Policy, 70, 101968

• 8. Ryosuke Yokoi, Keisuke Nansai, Kenichi Nakajima, Takuma Watari, and Masaharu Motoshita (2021)
  Responsibility of Consumers for Mining Capacity: Decomposition Analysis of Scarcity-weighted Metal Footprints in the Case of Japan
  iScience, 24, 1, 102025

• 7. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, and Kenichi Nakajima (2021)
  Major metals demand, supply, and environmental impacts to 2100: A critical review
  Resources Conservation and Recycling, 164, 105107

• 6. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, Damien Giurco, Kenichi Nakajima, Benjamin McLellan, and Christoph Helbig (2020)
  Global Metal Use Targets in Line with Climate Goals
  Environmental Science and Technology, 54(19), 12476-12483

• 5. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, and Kenichi Nakajima (2020)
  Review of critical metal dynamics to 2050 for 48 elements
  Resources Conservation and Recycling, 155, 104669

• 4. Benjamin McLellan, Takuma Watari, Seiichi Ogata, and Tetsuo Tezuka (2019)
  Resources-energy-development nexus and its implications for achieving the SDGs in Asia
  IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 136, 1

• 3. Takuma Watari, Keisuke Nansai, Kenichi Nakajima, Benjamin McLellan, Elsa Dominish, and Damien Giurco (2019)
  Integrating Circular Economy Strategies with Low-Carbon Scenarios: Lithium Use in Electric Vehicles
  Environmental Science and Technology, 53, 20, 11657-11665

• 2. Takuma Watari, Benjamin McLellan, Damien Giurco, Elsa Dominish, Eiji Yamasue, and Keisuke Nansai (2019)
  Total material requirement for the global energy transition to 2050: A focus on transport and electricity
  Resources Conservation and Recycling, 148, 91-103

• 1. Takuma Watari, Benjamin McLellan, Seiichi Ogata, and Tetsuo Tezuka (2018)
  Analysis of Potential for Critical Metal Resource Constraints in the International Energy Agency’s Long-Term Low-Carbon Energy Scenarios
  Minerals, 8(4), 156

Book Chapters

• 1. Damien Giurco, Elsa Dominish, Nick Florin, Takuma Watari and Benjamin McLellan (2019)
  Requirements for Minerals and Metals for 100% RE Scenarios
  In Teske, S. (Eds) “Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals: Global and Regional 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios to achieve the Paris Agreement Goals with non-energy GHG pathways for +1.5℃ and +2.0℃”, Springer

Invited Lectures/Talks

• 28. Takuma Watari “Decarbonising construction in East and Southeast Asia“, Global safety, sustainability and resilience: East & Southeast Asia, 2026/3/10

• 27. Takuma Watari “Industrial decarbonisation: mapping material flows, emissions, and future pathways“, Birmingham Sustainable Manufacturing Group Seminar, 2025/9/29

• 26. Takuma Watari “How circular and low-emission is the steel we make and use globally?“, H2STEEL – Workshop: Towards Circular and Climate-Friendly Steel: Assessing Energy, Recycling, and Innovation Pathways, 2025/9/22

• 25. Takuma Watari “Mapping material flows and stocks & decarbonisation pathways“, EMPA Seminar, 2025/9/4

• 24. Takuma Watari “The role of materials in the energy transition and net zero“, BRGM Seminar, 2025/7/10

• 23. Takuma Watari “The future is using less stuff“, Climate emergency conference 2025, 2025/7/8

• 22. Takuma Watari “How circular is our economy?“, The Consortium for Process Metallurgy, Japan, 2025/2/13

• 21. Takuma Watari “The role of timber buildings in decarbonisation“, Wood Utilisation System Study Group, 2024/12/23

• 20. Takuma Watari “Life Cycle Assessment in the Circular Economy: Case Studies“, Advancing responsible minerals for the energy transition, 2024/10/28

• 19. Takuma Watari “What are the key measures to decarbonise the industrial sector?“, Sustainable Infrastructure Research Group, 2024/5/10

• 18. Takuma Watari “Decarbonising the global steel industry in a resource-constrained future – a systems perspective“, The Royal Society Scientific Meeting (Sustainable metals: science and systems), 2024/2/5

• 17. Takuma Watari “An industrial ecology perspective on decarbonisation“, Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2023/12/26

• 16. Takuma Watari “Steel flow structure in Japan and the world“, Symposium to celebrate the third anniversary of the establishment of the CEN (Climate Emergency Network), 2023/11/21

• 15. Takuma Watari “Limited quantity and quality of steel supply in a zero-emission future“, IOP Publishing Environmental Research 2023, 2023/11/15

• 14. Takuma Watari “Resource use and carbon neutrality“, NIES and UTLCA seminar, 2023/10/13

• 13. Takuma Watari “Concrete and carbon neutrality“, Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2023/10/2

• 12. Takuma Watari “How should we use materials in a zero-emission future?“, Kyoto University IAESREC Science Cafe, 2023/9/14

• 11. Takuma Watari “Materials systems in a zero-emission world“, University of Cambridge FIBES Lunchtime Seminar, 2023/5/25

• 10. Takuma Watari “Limited quantity and quality of steel supply in a zero-emission future“, JEMS Inc., 2023/5/9

• 9. Takuma Watari “The role of materials in climate change mitigation“, Tohoku University, 2022/8/3

• 8. Takuma Watari “Bulk material cycles at national level in a zero-emission future“, 12th session of the ISIE SEM Online Perpetual Conference, 2022/7/21

• 7. Takuma Watari “The availability of copper – a perspective from science“, 14th Copper Academy, 2022/6/30

• 6. Takuma Watari “Critical material risks in the global energy transition“, 9th Japan-U.S. Bilateral Meeting on Rare Metals, 2022/3/10

• 5. Takuma Watari “The role of critical minerals and resource governance in sustainable energy transitions“,
  Australia Japan Symposium: Critical minerals for climate change mitigation – Reducing risks in lithium supply chains, 2021/12/10

• 4. Takuma Watari “Metal production, utilization, and recycling systems in a carbon-neutral world“,
  Metal Economics Research Institute, Japan, 2021/11/10

• 3. Takuma Watari “The impact of carbon constraints on global metal cycles“,
  JX Nippon Research Institute for Technology & Strategy Co., 2021/10/11

• 2. Takuma Watari “Contraction and convergence of metal stocks“,
  The Iron and Steel Institute of Japan, 2021/9/3

• 1. Takuma Watari “Critical materials demand in the green transition: a review“,
  ISIE Socioeconomic Metabolism Section perpetual online conference, 2020/10/9